Skip to content

Commit

Permalink
Update posts/covid-analysis/index.qmd
Browse files Browse the repository at this point in the history
Co-authored-by: Sebastian Funk <sebastian.funk@lshtm.ac.uk>
2 people authored and github-actions[bot] committed Dec 23, 2024
1 parent a8f91d9 commit c53325d
Showing 1 changed file with 1 addition and 1 deletion.
2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion posts/covid-analysis/index.qmd
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
@@ -43,7 +43,7 @@ This analysis in early 2020 focused on estimation of transmissiblity and subsequ

The code used to generate estimates for the probability of a large outbreak given $R_0$ are now available in the Epiverse-TRACE [\{superspreading\}](https://epiverse-trace.github.io/superspreading/) package.

**Suggested or ongoing development:** There are now much more efficient methods for performing the main real-time inference analysis, particularly the [\{dust\}](https://github.com/mrc-ide/dust) toolkit. The [\{seir\} package](https://github.com/LloydChapman/seir) is collating a library of simple model fitting implementations and a [branch](https://github.com/LloydChapman/seir/tree/early-wuhan) has implemented estimation of a fixed $R_0$ value in an SEIR model using early exported COVID cases. The next step would be to implement an example with a time-varying reproduction number.
**Suggested or ongoing development:** There are now much more efficient methods for performing the main real-time inference analysis, particularly the [\{dust\}](https://github.com/mrc-ide/dust) toolkit in combination with [\{mcstate\}](https://mrc-ide.github.io/mcstate/). As future tools will have to be flexible enough to be applicable in a wide range of modelling scenarios with different data sources, the main ongoing task is to ensure these are well documented and have been tested with relevant examples that can serve as templates for future work. The [\{seir\} package](https://github.com/LloydChapman/seir) is collating a library of simple model fitting implementations and a [branch](https://github.com/LloydChapman/seir/tree/early-wuhan) has implemented estimation of a fixed $R_0$ value in an SEIR model using early exported COVID cases. The next step would be to implement an example with a time-varying reproduction number.

### 2 Feb 2020: Early analysis of contact tracing effectiveness

0 comments on commit c53325d

Please sign in to comment.